Ten questions to ponder as the 2013 NFL draft approaches

Tyrann Mathieu was probably a more intriguing draft prospect back in 2011 when he was still playing for LSU. (Photo: Derick E. Hingle, USA TODAY Sports)

Story Highlights
  • Several high-profile players come with medical red flags
  • Could this be the year a running back won't go in Round 1?
  • The Kansas City Chiefs' choice at the top is still a mystery

    NEW YORK — We're close to getting answers about the 2013 NFL draft. For now, only questions remain as the draft opens with Thursday's first round.

    What's happening at the top of the draft? Who's crashing the first-round party? Who's sliding out? Is this group of quarterbacks really the least impressive in recent years? And what about these health issues that are popping up as a big story line in Round 1?

    These are some of the most pressing questions that have been asked over the last few months, weeks and days. We take a look at 10 of them and give you the latest answers.

    1. Who will be the No. 1 overall pick?

    Usually, we have our answer by now. Or at least a good feel for it. The consensus is the Kansas City Chiefs will select Texas A&M tackle Luke Joeckel, though there's been some chatter Central Michigan's Eric Fisher, another tackle, could jump him. The Chiefs have also let it be known they're willing to move out of the top spot for the right price and, just to make sure all smokescreens had been fanned, advertised their workout with West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith on their website. Those who know general manager John Dorsey's thinking on personnel matters think he'll grab one of those. We'll play the percentages and say it'll be Joeckel.

    MUM'S THE WORD: Joeckel, Fisher waiting to hear from Chiefs

    CHIEF QUESTIONS: K.C. taking calls about Albert, No. 1 pick

    2. Will Manti Te'o slip out of the first round?

    No way. We're not buying it. Te'o had the chance to meet with a bunch of teams at the combine, on his pro day and at private visits to clubs. Jerry Reese (New York Giants), Martin Mayhew (Detroit Lions) and Jeff Ireland (Miami Dolphins) are GMs who all spoke highly of Te'o after he visited. Let's just say the sense is the catfishing incident didn't do anything more to Te'o's draft stock than his subpar performance in Notre Dame's national title loss to Alabama. A team is going to take Te'o in the first round, even if it's as late as the Baltimore Ravens at No. 32.

    PHOTOS: Manti Te'o

    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o finished second in the 2012 Heisman Trophy voting to Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o finished second in the 2012 Heisman Trophy voting to Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel.  Winslow Townson, AP
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    Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, linebacker Manti Te'o and safety Zeke Motta talk to the press after the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.
    Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, linebacker Manti Te'o and safety Zeke Motta talk to the press after the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.  Steve Mitchell, USA TODAY Sports
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o is escorted by Miss Texas Ali Nugent as he carries the Lombardi Award to an interview room after a ceremony Dec. 5.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o is escorted by Miss Texas Ali Nugent as he carries the Lombardi Award to an interview room after a ceremony Dec. 5.  Melissa Phillip, AP
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    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his team's defeat to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his team's defeat to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
    Related story Fullscreen
    Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts in action during the second half of the 2013 BCS Championship game against Alabama.
    Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts in action during the second half of the 2013 BCS Championship game against Alabama.  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
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    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o speaks during a press conference for the 2013 BCS Championship game.
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o speaks during a press conference for the 2013 BCS Championship game.  Steve Mitchell, USA TODAY Sports
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    One thing that has been remarkably steady in a season full of surprises has been the performance of Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, center, taking aim at a Wake Forest ballcarrier Saturday.
    One thing that has been remarkably steady in a season full of surprises has been the performance of Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, center, taking aim at a Wake Forest ballcarrier Saturday.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Te'o against Washington as a freshman in 2009.
    Te'o against Washington as a freshman in 2009.  Michael Conroy, AP
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    If the USA TODAY Sports Media Group survey is any indicator, Notre Dame senior Manti Te'o at the very least will have the highest HeismanTrophy finish ever by a linebacker.
    If the USA TODAY Sports Media Group survey is any indicator, Notre Dame senior Manti Te'o at the very least will have the highest Heisman Trophy finish ever by a linebacker.  Gary A. Vasquez, USA TODAY Sports
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    Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts after Notre Dame defeated Michigan 13-6 on Sept. 22, 2012.
    Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts after Notre Dame defeated Michigan 13-6 on Sept. 22, 2012.  Darron Cummings, AP
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o played with a heavy heart against Michigan State after the loss of his girlfriend and grandmother.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o played with a heavy heart against Michigan State after the loss of his girlfriend and grandmother.  By Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) celebrates after Notre Dame defeated the Stanford Cardinal 20-13 in overtime at Notre Dame Stadium.
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) celebrates after Notre Dame defeated the Stanford Cardinal 20-13 in overtime at Notre Dame Stadium.  Matt Cashore-US PRESSWIRE US PRESSWIRE
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o collars Miami running back Duke Johnson in the Irish's 41-3 win.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o collars Miami running back Duke Johnson in the Irish's 41-3 win.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o waits for the snap during the second half of Notre Dame's 21-6 win over Boston College in a NCAA college football game in Boston Saturday, Nov. 10, 2012.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o waits for the snap during the second half of Notre Dame's 21-6 win over Boston College in a NCAA college football game in Boston Saturday, Nov. 10, 2012.  Winslow Townson AP
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, right, trying to slow down Stanford running back Stepfan Taylor in South Bend.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, right, trying to slow down Stanford running back Stepfan Taylor in South Bend.  Michael Conroy, AP
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    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o gives a salute as he enters practice at the LaBar Practice Complex in August 2011.
    Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o gives a salute as he enters practice at the LaBar Practice Complex in August 2011.  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, left, celebrates with defensive end Justin Utupo (53) after a Notre Dame win.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, left, celebrates with defensive end Justin Utupo (53) after a Notre Dame win.  Nam Y. Huh, AP
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    Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) reacts during the second half of a game against the Boston College Eagles at Alumni Stadium.
    Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) reacts during the second half of a game against the Boston College Eagles at Alumni Stadium.  Mark L. Baer-US PRESSWIRE US PRESSWIRE
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o runs the ball after an interception in the first quarter against the BYU Cougars.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o runs the ball after an interception in the first quarter against the BYU Cougars.   Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his final game at Notre Dame Stadium, a 38-0 win against Wake Forest that helped propel the Irish to the No. 1 ranking for the first time in 19 years.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his final game at Notre Dame Stadium, a 38-0 win against Wake Forest that helped propel the Irish to the No. 1 ranking for the first time in 19 years.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Manti Te'o celebrates Notre Dame's 38-0 win over Wake Forest.
    Manti Te'o celebrates Notre Dame's 38-0 win over Wake Forest.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o returns one of five interceptions by the Irish during the first half against Michigan.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o returns one of five interceptions by the Irish during the first half against Michigan.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o (5) and wide receiver John Goodman (81) celebrate in the fourth quarter against USC at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Notre Dame won 22-13.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o (5) and wide receiver John Goodman (81) celebrate in the fourth quarter against USC at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Notre Dame won 22-13.  Matt Cashore, US Presswire
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    Manti Te'o, Notre Dame: The Fighting Irish linebacker looks to become the first defensive Heisman winner since Charles Woodson in 1997.
    Manti Te'o, Notre Dame: The Fighting Irish linebacker looks to become the first defensive Heisman winner since Charles Woodson in 1997.  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
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    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o won the Nagurski Award, given to the nation's top defensive player.
    Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o won the Nagurski Award, given to the nation's top defensive player.  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
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    Like this topic? You may also like these photo galleries:
      Replay
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o finished second in the 2012 Heisman Trophy voting to Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel.
      • Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, linebacker Manti Te'o and safety Zeke Motta talk to the press after the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o is escorted by Miss Texas Ali Nugent as he carries the Lombardi Award to an interview room after a ceremony Dec. 5.
      • Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his team's defeat to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2013 BCS Championship game. Alabama won 42-14.
      • Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts in action during the second half of the 2013 BCS Championship game against Alabama.
      • Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o speaks during a press conference for the 2013 BCS Championship game.
      • One thing that has been remarkably steady in a season full of surprises has been the performance of Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, center, taking aim at a Wake Forest ballcarrier Saturday.
      • Te'o against Washington as a freshman in 2009.
      • If the USA TODAY Sports Media Group survey is any indicator, Notre Dame senior Manti Te'o at the very least will have the highest HeismanTrophy finish ever by a linebacker.
      • Notre Dame's Manti Te'o reacts after Notre Dame defeated Michigan 13-6 on Sept. 22, 2012.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o played with a heavy heart against Michigan State after the loss of his girlfriend and grandmother.
      • Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) celebrates after Notre Dame defeated the Stanford Cardinal 20-13 in overtime at Notre Dame Stadium.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o collars Miami running back Duke Johnson in the Irish's 41-3 win.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o waits for the snap during the second half of Notre Dame's 21-6 win over Boston College in a NCAA college football game in Boston Saturday, Nov. 10, 2012.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, right, trying to slow down Stanford running back Stepfan Taylor in South Bend.
      • Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o gives a salute as he enters practice at the LaBar Practice Complex in August 2011.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o, left, celebrates with defensive end Justin Utupo (53) after a Notre Dame win.
      • Fighting Irish linebacker Manti Te'o (5) reacts during the second half of a game against the Boston College Eagles at Alumni Stadium.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o runs the ball after an interception in the first quarter against the BYU Cougars.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o leaves the field after his final game at Notre Dame Stadium, a 38-0 win against Wake Forest that helped propel the Irish to the No. 1 ranking for the first time in 19 years.
      • Manti Te'o celebrates Notre Dame's 38-0 win over Wake Forest.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o returns one of five interceptions by the Irish during the first half against Michigan.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o (5) and wide receiver John Goodman (81) celebrate in the fourth quarter against USC at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Notre Dame won 22-13.
      • Manti Te'o, Notre Dame: The Fighting Irish linebacker looks to become the first defensive Heisman winner since Charles Woodson in 1997.
      • Notre Dame linebacker Manti Te'o won the Nagurski Award, given to the nation's top defensive player.
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        3. Who will land Geno Smith?

        The Jacksonville Jaguars' new regime isn't sold on Blaine Gabbert, but is Smith really worth taking at No. 2 overall? Probably not. But there's been plenty of talk about serious trading at the top of this draft as teams get into position to grab the top offensive tackles. So wouldn't it make sense for the Jaguars to slide back, collect an extra pick or two, stay in front of the Buffalo Bills (No. 8 overall) and grab Smith? Don't discount that possibility.

        QB Geno Smith passed for 42 TDs and just six INTs for West Virginia in 2012. (Photo: Rob Christy, USA TODAY Sports)

        4. What about Ryan Nassib?

        It seems the mock drafters have him going to the Bills (and his college coach at Syracuse in Doug Marrone) or not going in the first round at all. The belief was Nassib wouldn't wow the scouts but would win over the coaches later in the process as he sat down for meetings with them. That's exactly what happened, and there's a lot of chatter Nassib could be taken late in the first round by one of those top quarterback-needy teams (including the Bills) after a trade-up from early in the second round.

        5. Who has made a late charge into the first round?

        That would be SMU defensive end Margus Hunt. The Estonia native is a monster at 6-8, 277 pounds, so he'll come with the warning label that he'll have to play with low leverage to ensure he doesn't get driven back. But that's fine by plenty of teams, especially with coaching staffs who think his technique is just fine and will only get better. Hunt could come off the board as soon as No. 24 overall to the Indianapolis Colts.

        MOCK DRAFT 5.0: Our final first-round projections

        VIDEOS: Draft needs for all 32 NFL teams

        6. When will Tyrann Mathieu be selected?

        The third round is usually a good place for teams to start taking fliers on guys with good talent offset by a load of baggage. That's where the Denver Broncos selected Maurice Clarett in a move that didn't work out so well. It's also where the New York Giants took Mario Manningham in a move that helped get them a Super Bowl title. Mathieu's being on the smaller side (5-9) should prevent him from going in the first two rounds. But late Friday, listen for his name — despite the party flyer he tweeted that boasted he'd be taken in the first round.

        PARTY POOPER: Mathieu backs away from first-round soiree

        7. Are D.J. Hayden's health issues scaring teams?

        Apparently not. The Houston cornerback, who nearly died after severing a vein during practice last year, made quite the statement at his pro day (a 40-yard dash timed in the high 4.3s/low 4.4s) and again at a workout this week. Hayden is still getting his body back to full strength, but many teams' medical and training staffs have no doubt he'll get there. He'll be a first-round pick. Same with Utah DT Star Lotulelei, who might not get back into the top five, as he was originally projected, but won't fall far after being cleared by a heart specialist following an abnormal test at the scouting combine.

        8. What about Dee Milliner's shoulder?

        There's concern about that one after he had surgery to repair a torn labrum. But that's a common injury in the NFL and, if repaired and rehabbed properly, isn't a long-term issue. Maybe Milliner slides to the back end of the top 10, but a tumble any further than that isn't realistic, particularly with all of the teams up there that need cornerback help. (Psst! We're looking at you, the Darrelle Revis-less New York Jets, at No. 9.)

        PHOTOS: NFL draft's top 50 prospects

        50. Kevin Minter, inside linebacker, LSU
        50. Kevin Minter, inside linebacker, LSU  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        Justin Pugh, offensive tackle, Syracuse
        Justin Pugh, offensive tackle, Syracuse  G.M. Andrews, Associated Press
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        48. Jonathan Cyprien, safety, Florida International
        48. Jonathan Cyprien, safety, Florida International  Dave Martin, AP
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        47. Jordan Poyer, cornerback, Oregon State
        47. Jordan Poyer, cornerback, Oregon State  Douglas C. Pizac
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        46. Justin Hunter, wide receiver, Tennessee
        46. Justin Hunter, wide receiver, Tennessee  Amy Smotherman Burgess, AP
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        45. Sam Montgomery, defensive end, LSU
        45. Sam Montgomery, defensive end, LSU  Crystal Logiudice, USA TODAY Sports
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        44. Markus Wheaton, wide receiver, Oregon State
        44. Markus Wheaton, wide receiver, Oregon State  Scott Olmos, USA TODAY Sports
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        43. Matt Elam, safety, Florida
        43. Matt Elam, safety, Florida  Jake Roth, USA TODAY Sports
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        42. David Amerson, cornerback, North Carolina State
        42. David Amerson, cornerback, North Carolina State  Gerry Broome, AP
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        41. Barrett Jones, center, Alabama
        41. Barrett Jones, center, Alabama  Derick E. Hingle, USA TODAY Sports
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        40. D.J. Hayden, cornerback, Houston
        40. D.J. Hayden, cornerback, Houston  Erik Williams, Associated Press
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        39. Damontre Moore, defensive end/outside linebacker, Texas A&M
        39. Damontre Moore, defensive end/outside linebacker, Texas A&M  Thomas Campbell, USA TODAY Sports
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        38. Jamar Taylor, cornerback, Boise State
        38. Jamar Taylor, cornerback, Boise State  Kirby Lee, USA TODAY Sports
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        37. Darius Slay, cornerback, Mississippi State
        37. Darius Slay, cornerback, Mississippi State  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        36. Jarvis Jones, linebacker, Georgia
        36. Jarvis Jones, linebacker, Georgia  Daniel Shirey, USA TODAY Sports
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        35. Terron Armstead, offensive tackle, Arkansas-Pine Pluff
        35. Terron Armstead, offensive tackle, Arkansas-Pine Pluff  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        34. Johnthan Banks, cornerback, Mississippi State
        34. Johnthan Banks, cornerback, Mississippi State  Phil Sears, USA TODAY Sports
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        33. Alex Okafor, defensive end, Texas
        33. Alex Okafor, defensive end, Texas  Brett Davis, USA TODAY Sports
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        32. Desmond Trufant, cornerback, Washington
        32. Desmond Trufant, cornerback, Washington  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        31. Tank Carradine, defensive end, Florida State
        31. Tank Carradine, defensive end, Florida State  Kim Klement, USA TODAY Sports
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        30. Eric Reid, safety, LSU
        30. Eric Reid, safety, LSU  Brett Davis, USA TODAY Sports
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        29. Kawann Short, defensive tackle, Purdue
        29. Kawann Short, defensive tackle, Purdue  G.M. Andrews, AP
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        28. Datone Jones, defensive end, UCLA
        28. Datone Jones, defensive end, UCLA  Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports USA TODAY Sports
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        27. Tavon Austin, wide receiver, West Virginia
        27. Tavon Austin, wide receiver, West Virginia  Peter G. Aiken, USA TODAY Sports
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        26. Alec Ogletree, linebacker, Georgia
        26. Alec Ogletree, linebacker, Georgia  Daniel Shirey, USA TODAY Sports
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        25. Johnathan Hankins, defensive tackle, Ohio State
        25. Johnathan Hankins, defensive tackle, Ohio State  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        24. D.J. Fluker, offensive tackle, Alabama
        24. D.J. Fluker, offensive tackle, Alabama  Daniel Shirey, USA TODAY Sports
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        23. Sylvester Williams, defensive tackle, North Carolina
        23. Sylvester Williams, defensive tackle, North Carolina  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        22. DeAndre Hopkins, wide receiver, Clemson
        22. DeAndre Hopkins, wide receiver, Clemson  Joshua S. Kelly, USA TODAY Sports
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        21. Manti Te'o, inside linebacker, Notre Dame
        21. Manti Te'o, inside linebacker, Notre Dame  John David Mercer, USA TODAY Sports
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        20. Tyler Eifert, tight end, Notre Dame
        20. Tyler Eifert, tight end, Notre Dame  Matt Cashore, USA TODAY Sports
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        19. Matt Barkley, quarterback. USC
        19. Matt Barkley, quarterback. USC  Debby Wong, USA TODAY Sports
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        18. Keenan Allen, wide receiver, Cal
        18. Keenan Allen, wide receiver, Cal  Bob Stanton, USA TODAY Sports
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        17. Kenny Vaccaro, safety, Texas
        17. Kenny Vaccaro, safety, Texas  Brian Spurlock, USA TODAY Sports
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        16. Bjoern Werner, defensive end, Florida State
        16. Bjoern Werner, defensive end, Florida State  Melina Vastola, USA TODAY Sports
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        15. Jonathan Cooper, offensive guard, North Carolina
        15. Jonathan Cooper, offensive guard, North Carolina  Liz Condo, USA TODAY Sports
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        14. Ziggy Ansah, defensive end, BYU
        14. Ziggy Ansah, defensive end, BYU  George L. Frey, USA TODAY Sports
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        13. Barkevious Mingo, outside linebacker/defensive end, LSU
        13. Barkevious Mingo, outside linebacker/defensive end, LSU  Brett Davis, USA TODAY Sports
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        12. Cordarrelle Patterson, wide receiver, Tennessee
        12. Cordarrelle Patterson, wide receiver, Tennessee  Michael Patrick, AP
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        11. Star Lotulelei, defensive tackle, Utah
        11. Star Lotulelei, defensive tackle, Utah  Rick Bowmer, AP
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        10. Xavier Rhodes, cornerback, Florida State
        10. Xavier Rhodes, cornerback, Florida State  Melina Vastola, USA TODAY Sports
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        9. Lane Johnson, Oklahoma, offensive tackle
        9. Lane Johnson, Oklahoma, offensive tackle  Tony Gutierrez, AP
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        8. Chance Warmack, offensive guard, Alabama
        8. Chance Warmack, offensive guard, Alabama  Kelly Lambert, USA TODAY Sports
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        7. Sharrif Floyd, defensive tackle, Florida
        7. Sharrif Floyd, defensive tackle, Florida  Kim Klement, USA TODAY Sports
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        6. Dion Jordan, outside linebacker/defensive end, Oregon
        6. Dion Jordan, outside linebacker/defensive end, Oregon  David Kadlubowski, USA TODAY Sports
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        5. Sheldon Richardson, defensive tackle, Missouri
        5. Sheldon Richardson, defensive tackle, Missouri  L.G. Patterson, AP
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        4. Dee Milliner, cornerback, Alabama
        4. Dee Milliner, cornerback, Alabama  Jim Brown, USA TODAY Sports
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        3. Luke Joeckel, offensive tackle, Texas A&M
        3. Luke Joeckel, offensive tackle, Texas A&M  Thomas Campbell, USA TODAY Sports
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        2. Eric Fisher, offensive tackle, Central Michigan
        2. Eric Fisher, offensive tackle, Central Michigan  Carlos Osorio, AP
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        1. Geno Smith, quarterback, West Virginia
        1. Geno Smith, quarterback, West Virginia  Charles LeClaire, USA TODAY Sports
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